Introduction: Life operates in cycles, a timeless truth echoed in philosophy, history, and nature itself. Just as day turns to night and seasons move through their phases, human experiences—and the experiences of societies—rise and fall, shaped by the natural rhythm of bell curves. This concept of a “circle of life” isn’t merely poetic; it reflects an underlying rhythm governing all things. Recognizing and embracing these cycles helps us better understand where we are, where we’ve been, and where we’re heading.

The Bell Curve of Growth and Decline: In statistics, the bell curve often represents a familiar progression: a rise, a peak, and an eventual fall, which then makes way for a new ascent. This curve isn’t just about numbers; it mirrors life’s journey. For every ascent, there is a descent; for every high, a low. This cyclical pattern reminds us that while progress and success are worth celebrating, setbacks and challenges are also integral parts of growth.

Consider America’s current societal challenges. The country, like individuals and civilizations before it, may be experiencing a downward turn. Yet, this is not an end—only a phase, a necessary part of the cycle that can ultimately bring renewal. It’s as if we’re on a long, winding Disney ride, where each twist and turn, however turbulent, ultimately brings us back to a place of balance.

 

Embracing the Downturn as Part of Growth: While a downturn can feel discouraging, it’s also an opportunity for transformation. Just as a phoenix rises from its ashes, people and nations emerge stronger after periods of adversity. Nature has an uncanny way of restoring balance, and often, it’s the extreme challenges that spark real change. Low points often reveal insights that might otherwise be overlooked, driving a determination to rebuild.

Thresholds and the Power of Change: Sometimes, conditions must reach a critical point—a “threshold limit”—for their impact to be fully felt. As we encounter obstacles, frustrations, and seemingly insurmountable moments, these become wake-up calls, reminders of what needs to change. In dark moments, we glimpse what light can emerge when we rebuild intentionally. America, like any entity in a cycle, will rise from this phase with new strength and purpose.

My Take on the Political Landscape

I’m no political expert, but here are my observations on the recent American election:

  • Lack of a Strong Democratic Candidate: While Kamala Harris is a capable candidate, she has faced challenges stemming from the previous term. It seemed that, last term, the Democrats struggled to find a candidate who resonated strongly with the public, which may have affected their ability to create lasting change or secure broad support. Personally, I feel there should be an age limit for presidential candidates, similar to other roles. Our brain, like any part of the body, gradually slows with age. Reflexes become slower, and decision-making may be affected. After a certain age, individuals could be more suited to advisory roles where they can share their valuable experiences, rather than taking on the lead role.

  • Challenges in Foreign Policy and Middle East Stability: Foreign policy, particularly in the Middle East, seemed to lack focus and momentum, which likely contributed to public dissatisfaction. The challenges of previous years have underscored the need for a more proactive approach in this arena.

  • Biden’s Late Campaign Withdrawal: When Biden withdrew mid-campaign, Harris stepped up with remarkable determination and resilience, embracing the challenges of taking on a lead role at such a pivotal moment. She deserves immense recognition for her incredible spirit, managing to run a full campaign in under 100 days, especially against a seasoned opposition. This was no easy feat.

  • Lack of Visibility as VP: As vice president, Kamala Harris faced high expectations. However, she seemed to remain in the background, with limited chances to distinguish herself. In today’s political climate, her race and gender may have presented additional challenges, as perceptions can still be clouded by biases. Ironically, America is a nation of immigrants, where the majority are not originally from this land. Yet, even today, biases based on race or ethnicity continue to affect public opinion. 

  • Trump’s Opening Line that Struck a Chord: Trump’s campaign launch included a powerful question to voters—“Was this term better than the previous one?” (or something similar). This simple, direct question invited people to reflect on their own experiences, resonating with many on a personal level and sparking self-assessment.

  • Limited Choices: Many voters may have felt restricted by the specific candidates available. While some Republican and Democrat policies appeal to different parts of society, what people profess and what they practice often differ. Though individuals may claim to prioritize the good of society, personal and material interests can heavily influence decisions. Republican policies often resonate with those focused on financial benefits, while Democratic policies may appeal more to those with a heart for societal well-being.


Conclusion: The cycles of life, both for individuals and societies, remind us to embrace each phase with patience and perspective. Whether facing personal challenges or broader societal shifts, understanding the bell curve of change can help us find hope even in downturns. Eventually, every low phase makes way for renewal. As we continue this ride, we gain the wisdom to know that every fall has its rise, and every darkness holds the potential for light. In the great circle of life, resilience and hope are essential parts of the journey.

 

 

A Note for Those Disheartened by the Current Election Results: For anyone feeling disappointed with the recent election results in America, let’s try to focus on spreading a bit of positive spirit. If each of us contributes in this way, the world can indeed become a better place. Many feel that our country is divided, but it’s helpful to remember that with only two parties to choose from, division can feel almost inevitable. Instead, let’s hold on to hope that the returning leadership will uphold high moral standards and work toward unity and progress.

#Election2024

 

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6 Comments
  • Subrat Mohanty
    11/08/2024

    Beautifully written with lots of analysis and insights.

    • Manorama Choudhury
      11/09/2024

      Thank you so much!

  • Gagan Behari Panigrahi
    11/08/2024

    Your analysis is spot on. Loved reading it. Could you please elaborate little bit more on US’s middle east policy. Thank you for writing and sharing.

    • Manorama Choudhury
      11/09/2024

      The U.S. has been criticized for its handling of the Israel-Hamas conflict which led many votes to go to either third party or republican. Just for the election point of view.But here is a link with the conflict brief. https://sgp.fas.org/crs/mideast/R47828.pdf

  • Ram Nehra
    11/16/2024

    Priya Manorama: I really liked what you wrote. Very articulate, knowledgeable and top notch analysis.

    • Manorama Choudhury
      11/21/2024

      Thank you Ram uncle. Very kind of you.